Guys, y'all are gonna have to go on more than just vibes here lol
If we just sense someone is getting in, that's not a good sign.
The RRHOF voting bloc is difficult to determine, especially with multi-nominated artists.
When you think about it on vibes, Mariah's best shot was last year: she was the only R&B nominee, the biggest name (Cher was her biggest competitor that year). I guess the reason her chances are stronger is the lack of boomer acts (outside of maybe Phil and Luther, both of whom technically fit the boomer artist type though their peak of popularity was with the Gen X and Millennial generations) but then you have to tend with a heavy R&B bloc this year. For all we know, anyone who you think would tend to automatically check Mariah's name would probably go to New Edition or Sade or Lauryn. Then you have those like Pink and Shakira, who might not be an uber-legendary diva like Mariah but still gets a lot of respect from rocker types (same with Melissa Etheridge).
Now it is possible Mariah CAN beat those odds and it definitely is possible Sykes will make sure all four triple-nominated acts get in, but how possible is the real question.
If I have to go on the "vibes" feeling, outside of the obvious locks like Phil and Luther, INXS, Oasis and Iron Maiden definitely are next in line in this list. There will be a split with the last two inductee choices.
One will break the three-time streak (JD/NO vs. Mariah) and another will either be a female pop/rock act or the only hip-hop acts in the list. History will be made either way!
In a perfect universe, Mariah would've been inducted the first time her name came up.
I also think the service of voting system of rock hall is provided by another third party service provider
And if service provider also has access to the voting database (I think they could technical wise)
So if rock hall actually inducted for example a #10 ranked noninee and known by the third party service provider, it will become very complicated.
Maybe part of the reason of using online system is to at least tell public that voting process is following voting ranking.
Maybe our richie contributes to this lol? Because his "source" said about Kate Bush was manipulated in 2023, and then rock hall immediately changed the system to online system in 2024. Coincidence?
John Sykes also mentioned again "there are no backdoors inductions for main category" I think
So ranking in online database will be strictly followed ? How to operate ranking legally is another story?
I still think rock hall only inducted five in some years was criminal
I do think Chic finished #6 at least in one year (if Questlove said Chic was near enough was true), but rock hall did only include five in a lot of years.. So Chic may be #6 or #7 and snubbed again and again
I do think if rock hall nominates Chic again in recent years, they would he shoe-in... But I think the window of Chic for perfomer has passed unfortunately.