Guess Who will be almost 100% to be voted in if they are on a 2027/2028 ballot.
The Replacements have a wider and more lasting impact than Sonic Youth. Sonic Youth mainly influenced grunge and the riot grrrl movement, also some female rockers, but their echoes have diminished a bit since the 2010s, while The Replacements influenced that "alternative pop rock" (Goo Goo Dolls, Gin Blossoms, that ilk, The Replacements are probably the single biggest influence on this ilk, all the sound comes from The Replacements more than R.E.M.), pop punk (Green Day), indie rock (Wilco, Pavement, Liz Phair) and also more importantly modern indie acts (Lorde, Phoebe Bridgers, Sam Fender, Wolf Alice). Did hear that quite a few board members of the Rock Hall are Replacements fans, so there's still a good chance that The Replacements' induction will happen.
You forgot about Cocteau Twins, especially when you mentioned MBV. Their monthly listener count has been increasing rapidly. I believe they had around 4–4.5M monthly listeners at the beginning of the year, and now they're at 6.3M. They definitely have a growing younger audience, and several of their songs have recently started trending on TikTok.
I think there's a good chance that more of their songs will be "discovered" and trend on TikTok in the future, especially since they're not really a singles band. They have multiple great albums with a lot of strong deep cuts, so there's plenty of material that could potentially reach more Gen Z and Gen Alpha listeners. I believe they'll enter the top 3,000 most-streamed artists of all time soon.
I mean, if they can continue this momentum and, for example, reach 10M monthly listeners within the next several years, then maybe they'll become a more obvious choice sometime around 2035–2040?
omar wrote: